Original research · HMDA data

Mortgage approval rates by state and loan type

The short version

In 2025, U.S. lenders originated 6,807,732 home loans and denied 2,081,146 applications — an approval rate of about 76.6% among decisioned applications, on roughly $2.40 trillion in lending. Odds are highest for VA loans (83%) and vary widely by state, from ND (85.9%) down to MS (69.8%).

Approval rates by loan type

Program matters more than most borrowers realize. Government-backed loans carry a federal guarantee that lowers lender risk, so they clear at higher rates than conventional financing.

U.S. mortgage approval rates by loan type (2025)
Loan typeOriginatedDeniedApproval rate
Conventional5,308,7411,698,36975.8%
FHA900,434262,61377.4%
VA560,693114,47283%
USDA37,8645,69286.9%

Source: HMDA 2025, FFIEC/CFPB. Approval rate = originated ÷ (originated + denied).

Approval rates by state, ranked

State approval rates reflect the local mix of borrowers, incomes, home prices and loan programs — not a lender bias by geography. Still, the spread is real: about 16.1 points separate ND from MS. Click any state for local rates and costs.

Mortgage approval rate by state (2025), highest to lowest
RankStateApproval rateOriginatedDenied
1 ND 85.9% 14,333 2,353
2 NE 84.3% 43,920 8,182
3 IA 84.2% 75,933 14,267
4 SD 83.8% 17,111 3,303
5 MN 83% 122,789 25,153
6 WI 82.9% 154,669 31,807
7 VT 81.4% 13,418 3,065
8 ID 81.3% 56,607 12,983
9 AK 81.2% 11,907 2,749
10 KS 80.9% 60,511 14,250
11 MT 80.7% 23,001 5,498
12 MO 80.6% 146,780 35,291
13 UT 79.9% 95,957 24,210
14 OR 79.8% 89,385 22,568
15 WY 79.7% 13,328 3,399
16 WA 79.6% 175,441 44,965
17 MA 79.4% 135,614 35,105
18 CO 79.3% 156,418 40,730
19 ME 79.2% 35,498 9,326
20 IN 79% 178,349 47,461
21 NH 78.9% 35,609 9,513
22 VA 78.9% 203,054 54,385
23 AZ 78.6% 183,878 50,167
24 CT 77.6% 74,717 21,536
25 IL 77.4% 232,591 67,804
26 OH 77.2% 277,933 82,101
27 TN 77.2% 176,247 52,016
28 PA 76.9% 272,809 81,828
29 NV 76.8% 69,682 21,068
30 DE 76.5% 27,033 8,294
31 MI 76.4% 229,505 70,986
32 CA 76.3% 572,268 177,363
33 NC 76.2% 281,159 87,837
34 RI 76.2% 26,004 8,138
35 NJ 75.9% 178,220 56,618
36 AR 75.8% 66,490 21,278
37 OK 75.8% 79,051 25,245
38 SC 75.6% 143,083 46,264
39 DC 75.5% 9,300 3,026
40 KY 75.5% 100,653 32,628
41 NY 75.1% 232,239 76,984
42 MD 74.8% 126,664 42,745
43 NM 74.1% 39,313 13,712
44 GA 73.8% 242,931 86,323
45 TX 73.8% 526,689 186,511
46 AL 73.6% 115,118 41,252
47 WV 72.1% 29,629 11,456
48 HI 71.7% 19,858 7,829
49 FL 71.4% 491,046 196,298
50 LA 70.1% 69,272 29,558
51 MS 69.8% 54,718 23,718

Source: HMDA 2025, FFIEC/CFPB, pulled 2026-07-10. Decisioned applications only.

What this means for your application

A state or program rate is a pattern, not a prediction. Approval turns on factors under your control — your credit score, debt-to-income ratio, down payment and the property itself. The clearest takeaway from the data is that loan program is a lever: if you're eligible for a VA or USDA loan, your odds — and usually your rate — are better than on a conventional loan.

Before you apply, check where you stand: estimate a payment in the mortgage calculator, see the price you can carry with the affordability calculator, and review complaint patterns in our mortgage complaints report.

Frequently asked

What is the average mortgage approval rate in the U.S.?

In 2025, lenders originated 6,807,732 home loans and denied 2,081,146 applications, an approval rate of about 76.6% among decisioned applications, according to federal HMDA data.

Approval odds vary by loan type and state — VA loans clear 83% while some states sit below 72%.

Why do VA and USDA loans have higher approval rates?

Government-backed VA and USDA loans carry a federal guarantee that reduces lender risk, and their borrowers are often carefully pre-screened for eligibility. In 2025, VA loans were approved at 83% and USDA at 86.9%, both above the 75.8% conventional rate.

Does a state approval rate predict my own odds?

No. Approval is decided on your credit, debt-to-income ratio, down payment and the property — not your ZIP code. State rates reflect the mix of borrowers, incomes, home prices and loan types in each market. They are useful for spotting patterns, not for predicting an individual decision.

What counts as a denial in this data?

HMDA records the action taken on each application. We compare loans originated (action 1) against applications denied (action 3) to compute an approval rate among decisioned applications. Withdrawn and incomplete files are excluded, so this measures how decisioned applications resolved.

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